Data-adaptive evolutionary spectral estimation

We present a novel data-adaptive estimator for the evolutionary spectrum of nonstationary signals. We model the signal at a frequency of interest as a sinusoid with a time-varying amplitude, which is accurately represented by an orthonormal basis expansion. We then compute a minimum mean-squared error estimate of this amplitude and use it to estimate the time-varying spectrum at that frequency, all while minimizing the interference from the signal components at other frequencies. Repeating the process over all frequencies, we obtain a power distribution that is consistent with the Wold-Cramer evolutionary spectrum and reduces to Capon´s (1969) method for the stationary case. Our estimator possesses desirable properties in terms of time-frequency resolution and positivity and is robust in the spectral estimation of noisy nonstationary data. We also propose a new estimator for the autocorrelation of nonstationary signals. This autocorrelation estimate is needed in the data-adaptive spectral estimation. We illustrate the performance of our estimator using simulation examples and compare it with the recently presented evolutionary periodogram and the bilinear time-frequency distribution with exponential kernels