DocumentCode :
1269714
Title :
Implementing a weighted least squares procedure in training a neural network to solve the short-term load forecasting problem
Author :
Choueiki, M. Hisham ; Mount-Campbell, Clark A. ; Ahalt, Stanley C.
Author_Institution :
Public Utilities Commission of Ohio, Columbus, OH, USA
Volume :
12
Issue :
4
fYear :
1997
fDate :
11/1/1997 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage :
1689
Lastpage :
1694
Abstract :
The use of a weighted least squares procedure when training a neural network to solve the short-term load forecasting (STLF) problem is investigated. Our results indicate that a neural network that implements the weighted least squares procedure outperforms a neural network that implements the least squares procedure during the on-peak period for the two performance criteria specified; MAE% and COST, during the entire period for the COST criterion. It is therefore, recommended that the weighted least squares procedure be further studied by electric utilities which use neural networks to forecast their short-term load, and experience large variabilities in their hourly marginal energy costs during a 24-hour period
Keywords :
economics; learning (artificial intelligence); least squares approximations; load forecasting; neural nets; power system analysis computing; COST; MAE%; hourly marginal energy costs variation; neural network training; on-peak period; performance criteria; short-term load forecasting; weighted least squares procedure; Costs; Economic forecasting; Industrial training; Intelligent networks; Least squares methods; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Power industry; Power system economics; Production;
fLanguage :
English
Journal_Title :
Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher :
ieee
ISSN :
0885-8950
Type :
jour
DOI :
10.1109/59.627877
Filename :
627877
Link To Document :
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