DocumentCode
127248
Title
HAR volatility modelling with jump
Author
Xu Jing ; Wang Su-sheng
Author_Institution
Inst. of Urban Planning & Manage., Harbin Inst. of Technol., Shenzhen, China
fYear
2014
fDate
17-19 Aug. 2014
Firstpage
1301
Lastpage
1306
Abstract
Heterogeneity and jump are two important factors influencing volatility. Ignoring heterogeneity and jump would reduce the quality of the realized volatility model. Underestimating downside risk is produced. In the present work we investigate the influence of heterogeneity and jump on volatility, establish a HAR-RV-J model based on the HAR-RV models. Our research demonstrates that the empirical results of HAR-RV-J model considering the jump effect presents better statistical indicators in the mainland stocks. Moreover, it is found that the forecasting performance of HAR-RV-J model is better than HAR-RV model by comparing RMSE, MAE and MAPE. It indicates that the combination of HAR-RV model and jump improves the estimation accuracy of the realized volatility in Chinese mainland stocks, which is more advantageous to the risk management of financial assets.
Keywords
asset management; estimation theory; financial management; forecasting theory; risk management; statistical analysis; stock markets; Chinese mainland stocks; HAR volatility modelling; HAR-RV-J model; estimation accuracy; financial assets; forecasting performance; jump effect; mainland stocks; risk management; statistical indicators; Correlation; Forecasting; Indexes; Mathematical model; Numerical models; Predictive models; Stock markets; heterogeneity; high frequency data; jump; realized volatility;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Management Science & Engineering (ICMSE), 2014 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Helsinki
Print_ISBN
978-1-4799-5375-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICMSE.2014.6930380
Filename
6930380
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