• DocumentCode
    127248
  • Title

    HAR volatility modelling with jump

  • Author

    Xu Jing ; Wang Su-sheng

  • Author_Institution
    Inst. of Urban Planning & Manage., Harbin Inst. of Technol., Shenzhen, China
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    17-19 Aug. 2014
  • Firstpage
    1301
  • Lastpage
    1306
  • Abstract
    Heterogeneity and jump are two important factors influencing volatility. Ignoring heterogeneity and jump would reduce the quality of the realized volatility model. Underestimating downside risk is produced. In the present work we investigate the influence of heterogeneity and jump on volatility, establish a HAR-RV-J model based on the HAR-RV models. Our research demonstrates that the empirical results of HAR-RV-J model considering the jump effect presents better statistical indicators in the mainland stocks. Moreover, it is found that the forecasting performance of HAR-RV-J model is better than HAR-RV model by comparing RMSE, MAE and MAPE. It indicates that the combination of HAR-RV model and jump improves the estimation accuracy of the realized volatility in Chinese mainland stocks, which is more advantageous to the risk management of financial assets.
  • Keywords
    asset management; estimation theory; financial management; forecasting theory; risk management; statistical analysis; stock markets; Chinese mainland stocks; HAR volatility modelling; HAR-RV-J model; estimation accuracy; financial assets; forecasting performance; jump effect; mainland stocks; risk management; statistical indicators; Correlation; Forecasting; Indexes; Mathematical model; Numerical models; Predictive models; Stock markets; heterogeneity; high frequency data; jump; realized volatility;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Management Science & Engineering (ICMSE), 2014 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Helsinki
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-5375-2
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMSE.2014.6930380
  • Filename
    6930380