DocumentCode
1298583
Title
Decisions that influence outcomes in the distant future
Author
Owen, Patricia A.
Author_Institution
SRI International, 333 Ravenswood Avenue, Menlo Park, CA 94025
Issue
1
fYear
1983
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
10
Abstract
An alternative solution to the classic social discount problem of making decisions that influence outcomes on future generations is presented. The methodology assumes that individuals in the current generation are the decisionmakers. The decision criterion is net willingness to pay, computed from current individuals, preferences for their own consumption and the well-being of others, including those in the future. Unlike cost-benefit analysis the approach assumes that decisions are made by a “social brokerage firm” acting consistently with the voluntary choices of individuals. An example of the federal government´s decision whether to store helium underground for the future is used to compare the proposed approach with the use of social discount rates.
Keywords
Approximation methods; Companies; Contracts; Cost benefit analysis; Cybernetics; Uncertainty; Vectors;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0018-9472
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/TSMC.1983.6313024
Filename
6313024
Link To Document