• DocumentCode
    1298583
  • Title

    Decisions that influence outcomes in the distant future

  • Author

    Owen, Patricia A.

  • Author_Institution
    SRI International, 333 Ravenswood Avenue, Menlo Park, CA 94025
  • Issue
    1
  • fYear
    1983
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    10
  • Abstract
    An alternative solution to the classic social discount problem of making decisions that influence outcomes on future generations is presented. The methodology assumes that individuals in the current generation are the decisionmakers. The decision criterion is net willingness to pay, computed from current individuals, preferences for their own consumption and the well-being of others, including those in the future. Unlike cost-benefit analysis the approach assumes that decisions are made by a “social brokerage firm” acting consistently with the voluntary choices of individuals. An example of the federal government´s decision whether to store helium underground for the future is used to compare the proposed approach with the use of social discount rates.
  • Keywords
    Approximation methods; Companies; Contracts; Cost benefit analysis; Cybernetics; Uncertainty; Vectors;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9472
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TSMC.1983.6313024
  • Filename
    6313024