Title :
Estimation, Hypothesis Testing and Parameter Correlation for Markov Chains
Author_Institution :
Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md.
Abstract :
In this report we will discuss four problems in statistical inference for Markov chains. Specifically, techniques are described to do the following: 1) estimate the transition probabilities of first- and second-order stationary Markov chains; 2) test the hypothesis that a stationary Markov chain is of first order against the alternate hypothesis that the chain is of second order; and 3) test the hypothesis that a first-order Markov chain has stationary transition probabilities against the alternate hypothesis that the transition probabilities are not stationary. A technique is also developed which can be used in testing to determine whether two parameters of a single electronic component drift independently of each other. The results of these tests are used to draw some inference about continuous-time Markov processes.
Keywords :
Circuit testing; Decision making; Electronic circuits; Electronic components; Electronic equipment testing; Markov processes; Predictive models; State estimation;
Journal_Title :
Reliability, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TR.1963.5218225