DocumentCode
1333923
Title
Weakly Universally Consistent Forecasting of Stationary and Ergodic Time Series
Author
Jones, Daniel ; Kohler, Michael ; Walk, Harro
Author_Institution
Dept. of Math., Tech. Univ. Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Germany
Volume
58
Issue
2
fYear
2012
Firstpage
1191
Lastpage
1202
Abstract
Static forecasting of stationary and ergodic time series is considered, i.e., inference of the conditional expectation of the response variable at time zero given the infinite past. It is shown that the mean squared error of a combination of suitably defined localized least squares estimates converges to zero for all distributions where the response variable is square integrable.
Keywords
mean square error methods; statistical mechanics; time series; conditional expectation; ergodic time series; localized least square; mean squared error; response variable; static forecasting; stationary time series; weakly universally consistent forecasting; Forecasting; Kernel; Least squares approximation; Polynomials; Random variables; Splines (mathematics); Time series analysis; Dependent data; forecasting; mean squared error; time series; weak consistency;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0018-9448
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/TIT.2011.2169648
Filename
6029336
Link To Document