Title :
Electric load forecasting for large office building based on radial basis function neural network
Author :
Weijie Mai ; Chung, C.Y. ; Ting Wu ; Huazhang Huang
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Hong Kong Polytech. Univ., Hong Kong, China
Abstract :
The concept of smart grid has enabled many innovative initiatives that focus on boosting building energy efficiency such as intelligent optimal control of building energy systems and demand side management, which require accurate building load prediction. In this study, we present an hourly electric load forecasting model for large commercial office buildings based on radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) using outdoor weather data and historical load data as inputs, which is easy to implement, without tedious trial-and-error parameterizing procedures. Data from a real building under different weather conditions is used to evaluate the performance of the model and promising results are obtained, which demonstrates that the proposed method is able to precisely predict the evolving hourly electric load of the building.
Keywords :
building management systems; demand side management; load forecasting; neurocontrollers; optimal control; radial basis function networks; smart power grids; building energy systems; building load prediction; commercial office building energy efficiency; demand side management; hourly electric load forecasting model; intelligent optimal control; radial basis function neural network; smart grid; weather conditions; Buildings; Data models; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Meteorology; Neurons; Predictive models; Load Forecasting; building energy efficiency; commercial office buildings; demand side management;
Conference_Titel :
PES General Meeting | Conference & Exposition, 2014 IEEE
Conference_Location :
National Harbor, MD
DOI :
10.1109/PESGM.2014.6939378