Title :
Applications and extensions of the chains-of-rare-events model
Author :
Barraza, Néstor R. ; Cernuschi-Frias, Bruno ; Cernuschi, Felix
Author_Institution :
Buenos Aires Univ., Argentina
fDate :
9/1/1996 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
The chains-of-rare-events model (ChRE) is extended. The ChRE was originally introduced in order to analyze occurrences which can be produced with simple, double, triple, etc., multiplicity. In the original ChRE, each occurrence of multiplicity (i) is independently distributed according to a Poisson law with parameter λi ; and a simple relation for these parameters is considered. In this way, ChRE can be applied to analyze outcomes produced in occurrences with multiple events, such as failures, queuing, automobile accidents, telephone calls, and accidents in a factory. The original ChRE is extended to analyze the total number of outcomes in which a given total number of occurrences of different multiplicity occur. The model can be analyzed as a compound Poisson distribution where the compounding distribution is Poisson truncated at zero. Applications to reliability and queuing processes data are presented. The results compare favorably with those from other models
Keywords :
Poisson distribution; failure analysis; maximum likelihood estimation; reliability theory; Poisson law; Poisson truncated at zero; automobile accidents; chains-of-rare-events model; compound poisson distribution; factory accidents; failures; multiple events; multiplicity; queuing; reliability modelling; telephone calls; Artificial intelligence; Automobiles; Failure analysis; Probability distribution; Production facilities; Queueing analysis; Road accidents; Road transportation; Telephony; Traffic control;
Journal_Title :
Reliability, IEEE Transactions on