Title :
Transferable belief model for decision making in the valuation-based systems
Author :
Xu, Hong ; Hsia, Yen-Teh ; Smets, Philippe
Author_Institution :
Service d´´Atomique, Univ. Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium
fDate :
11/1/1996 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
We present a decision support system which is based on the transferable belief model (TBM), a model to represent someone´s degree of belief based on belief functions. The system performs reasoning and decision making by integrating a system for belief propagation and a system for Bayesian decision analysis. The two subsystems are developed within the framework of the valuation-based systems. They are connected through the pignistic transformation as described in the context of the TBM. The system takes as inputs the user´s beliefs and utilities, and suggests either the optimal decision or the optimal sequence of decisions. An example concerning a nuclear waste disposal problem is given to demonstrate the applicability of the system in a real-world domain
Keywords :
Bayes methods; decision support systems; graphical user interfaces; knowledge representation; uncertainty handling; Bayesian decision analysis; belief functions; belief propagation; decision making; degree of belief; nuclear waste disposal problem; optimal decision; optimal sequence; pignistic transformation; reasoning; transferable belief model; valuation-based systems; Bayesian methods; Belief propagation; Decision making; Decision support systems; Decision trees; Fuzzy set theory; Performance analysis; Radioactive pollution; Uncertainty; Utility theory;
Journal_Title :
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/3468.541330