Title :
An interval-based MADM approach to the identification of candidate alternatives in strategic resource planning
Author :
Pan, Jiuping ; Teklu, Yonael ; Rahman, Saifur ; De Castro, Arnulfo
Author_Institution :
Res. Inst., Virginia Polytech. Inst. & State Univ., Alexandria, VA, USA
fDate :
11/1/2000 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
Multi-attribute decision making (MADM) methods have been widely used in the strategic planning of electric utilities for selecting the best resource strategy with regard to the chosen attributes. In many MADM problems, however, the information available to the decision-maker (DM) is often imprecise due to inaccurate attribute measurements and inconsistent priority judgments. This paper presents an interval-based MADM approach in support of the decision making process with imprecise information. The proposed MADM methodology is based on the model of lineal additive utility function but extends the problem formulation with the measure of composite utility variance. Its main contribution is to help the DM gain insight into how the imprecise data may affect the choice toward the best solution and how a set of acceptable alternatives may be identified with certain confidence. Sample case studies are provided to illustrate the concepts introduced in this paper
Keywords :
decision theory; electricity supply industry; power system planning; strategic planning; candidate alternatives identification; case studies; composite utility variance; decision making process; electric utilities; imprecise data; imprecise information; interval-based MADM approach; lineal additive utility function; multi-attribute decision making; strategic resource planning; Additives; Decision making; Delta modulation; Displays; Gain measurement; Power generation planning; Power industry; Power system modeling; Power system planning; Strategic planning;
Journal_Title :
Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on