Advanced geomagnetic storm forecasting: a risk management tool for electric power system operations

Author

Kappenman, John G. ; Radasky, William A. ; Gilbert, James L. ; Erinmez, I. Arslan

Author_Institution

Metatech Corp., Duluth, MN, USA

Volume

28

Issue

6

fYear

2000

fDate

12/1/2000 12:00:00 AM

Firstpage

2114

Lastpage

2121

Abstract

Geomagnetic disturbances (i.e., space storms) can impact the operational reliability of transmission systems. Solar Cycle 22 (the most recent solar cycle extending from 1986 to 1996) demonstrated to the power industry the need to take into consideration the potential impacts of geomagnetic storms. Experience gained from the unprecedented scale of these recent storm events provides compelling evidence of a general increase in electric power system susceptibility. Important infrastructure advances have recently been put in place that provide solar wind data. This new data source along with numeric model advances allows the capability for predictive forecasts of severe storm conditions, which can be used by impacted power system operators to better prepare for and manage storm impacts

Keywords

electricity supply industry; magnetic storms; power distribution protection; power overhead lines; power transmission; electric power system operation; electrical power transmission; electricity transmission system; forecast; forecasting; geomagnetic storm; magnetic storm; magnetosphere; operational reliability; power overhead lines; prediction; risk management tool; severe storm conditions; substorm; Geomagnetism; Numerical models; Power industry; Power system management; Power system modeling; Power system reliability; Predictive models; Risk management; Storms; Wind forecasting;

fLanguage

English

Journal_Title

Plasma Science, IEEE Transactions on

Publisher

ieee

ISSN

0093-3813

Type

jour

DOI

10.1109/27.902238

Filename

902238