Probabilistic evaluation of transient stability in a multimachine power system

There has been continuous development of better techniques for assessing transient instability in a power system. It has also been recognised that there is a need for additional indices of transient stability which more completely reflect all the factors that influence system stability. The bulk of the work in this area is based on deterministic models. The probabilistic nature of the basic factors which affect transient-stability performance of a power system has been demonstrated in recent papers.1,4 This paper illustrates the inclusion of probabilistic considerations in transient-stability analysis of a practical power system by application to a multimachine configuration. A relatively simple multimachine system is used to demonstrate the technique of considering the probabilities associated with the type, location and clearance of faults. The approach in this paper is not restricted by the simplifying assumptions made in Reference 4. Reliability levels for different fault types and fault locations are evaluated, and the effect of variation of selected system parameters on the overall reliability of the system is investigated.