Title :
Using predicate logic to integrate qualitative reasoning and classical decision theory
Author :
Fox, John ; Clark, Dominic A. ; Glowinski, Andrzej J. ; O´Neil, Michael J.
Author_Institution :
Imperial Cancer Res. Fund Labs., London, UK
Abstract :
An approach that accommodates classical decision theory within a framework of first-order logic with nonmonotonic extensions is described. Among the benefits offered by the approach are the potential: to express qualitative arguments about the desirability of decision options in the absence of probability or utility parameters; to automate techniques for generating decision options; and to initiate, control, and terminate a decision process autonomously. The rationality of a logical decision framework is discussed. A particular benefit of implementing decision procedures in a nonmonotonic logic is that decision systems can adapt automatically as beliefs change, contradictions are encountered, or new knowledge is acquired. A general conclusion is that metaknowledge and metalevel reasoning must be integral elements of a decision theory because of the versatility and operating flexibility they offer
Keywords :
decision theory; formal logic; inference mechanisms; knowledge acquisition; probability; decision theory; desirability; knowledge acquisition; logical decision; metaknowledge; predicate logic; qualitative reasoning; rationality; Automatic generation control; Automatic logic units; Business; Cancer; Decision support systems; Decision theory; Knowledge engineering; Medical expert systems; Probability; Uncertainty;
Journal_Title :
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on