Title :
Analytical Study of Global Mobile Market: Forecasting and Substitution
Author :
Kaur, Harleen ; Abodallahian, M.
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Math. & Geospatial Sci., RMIT Univ., Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Abstract :
Mobile phones have become indispensable part of human life. New mobile gadgets have brought competition to the global mobile industry. In this paper a thorough statistical research has been undertaken to examine the future of the Global Mobile Industry that could help consumers make wise decisions and help investors make informative investment in the mobile industry. The research is confined to popular devices only which includes forecast of Global mobile subscriber, market share of different mobile vendors, forecast of top rates operating system of devices and forecast of Desktop web and Mobile web. Monthly data was obtained for time series analysis and the forecasting of Mobile substitution. It is found from the study that Holt´s Exponential smoothing method is the best model to forecast the mobile data. It is also found that Mobile´s will substitute Desktops in the forthcoming years. The research outcomes provide beneficial insight for the investors and the people who work in the digital market.
Keywords :
Internet; mobile computing; smart phones; time series; Holt exponential smoothing method; desktop Web; global mobile industry; global mobile market; global mobile subscriber forecasting; informative investment; mobile Web; mobile gadgets; mobile phones; mobile substitution forecasting; mobile vendor market share; time series analysis; Data models; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Mobile communication; Predictive models; Smoothing methods; Time series analysis; Desktop; Holt´s Exponential; Logistic Growth model;
Conference_Titel :
Information Technology: New Generations (ITNG), 2014 11th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Las Vegas, NV
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-3187-3
DOI :
10.1109/ITNG.2014.47