Title :
Cross-impact analysis and prediction of technological developments: A case study of farm tractors
Author_Institution :
Portland State Univ., OR, USA
fDate :
5/1/1975 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
A `real´ forecast of technological developments in farm tractors is presented here. The methods of Delphi and cross-impact analysis are used and briefly described along with some criticism in the background of the experience gained from their application. In addition, some purely methodological findings are noted.
Keywords :
management science; technological forecasting; Delphi; cross impact analysis; farm tractors; technological forecasting; Agricultural machinery; Automation; Business; Computational modeling; Forecasting; Predictive models; Technological innovation;
Journal_Title :
Engineering Management, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TEM.1975.6447207
