Reserve Setting and Steady-State Security Assessment Using Wind Power Uncertainty Forecast: A Case Study

Author

Bessa, R.J. ; Matos, Manuel A. ; Costa, Inaldo C. ; Bremermann, Leonardo ; Franchin, I.G. ; Pestana, Rui ; Machado, Nelson ; Waldl, H. ; Wichmann, C.

Author_Institution

Fac. of Eng., Univ. of Porto, Porto, Portugal

Volume

3

Issue

4

fYear

2012

Firstpage

827

Lastpage

836

Abstract

This paper reports results and an evaluation methodology from two new decision-aid tools that were demonstrated at a Transmission System Operator (REN, Portugal) during several months in the framework of the E.U. project Anemos.plus. The first tool is a probabilistic method intended to support the definition of the operating reserve requirements. The second is a fuzzy power flow tool that identifies possible congestion situations and voltage violations in the transmission network. Both tools use as input probabilistic wind power predictions.

Keywords

fuzzy set theory; load flow; load forecasting; power system security; probability; wind power plants; decision-aid tools; fuzzy power flow tool; probabilistic method; probabilistic wind power predictions; steady-state security assessment; transmission network; transmission system operator; wind power uncertainty forecast; Fuzzy logic; Prediction algorithms; Probabilistic logic; Steady-state; Uncertainty; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; Congestion; fuzzy power flow; probabilistic forecasts; reserve; risk; system operator; wind power;

fLanguage

English

Journal_Title

Sustainable Energy, IEEE Transactions on

Publisher

ieee

ISSN

1949-3029

Type

jour

DOI

10.1109/TSTE.2012.2199340

Filename

6209459