Title :
Forecasting Earthquakes: The RELM Test
Author :
Sachs, Michael ; Turcotte, Donald L. ; Holliday, James R. ; Rundle, John
Author_Institution :
Univ. of California, Davis, CA, USA
Abstract :
Earthquakes don´t have precursors that can be reliably used for earthquake prediction. However, distributions of earthquakes (seismicity) can be used to forecast an earthquake hazard. These distributions in space, time, and magnitude can be studied in a variety of ways. The Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) test compares the different approaches.
Keywords :
earthquakes; seismology; RELM test; Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models; earthquake distributions; earthquake forecasting; earthquake hazard; earthquake prediction; Computational modeling; Earthquakes; Forecasting; Hazards; Predictive models; Seismic measurements; Tsunami; earthquakes; forecast testing; hazard assessment; scientific computing;
Journal_Title :
Computing in Science & Engineering
DOI :
10.1109/MCSE.2012.87