Probabilistic assessment of photovoltaic (PV) generation systems

Author

Maghraby, H.A.M. ; Shwehdi, M.H. ; Al-Bassam, Ghassan K.

Author_Institution

Dept. of Electr. Eng., King Fahd Univ. of Pet. & Miner., Dhahran, Saudi Arabia

Volume

17

Issue

1

fYear

2002

fDate

2/1/2002 12:00:00 AM

Firstpage

205

Lastpage

208

Abstract

The sizing of photovoltaic (PV) power systems for remote offshore loads has been the concern of end users. This is because of the space constraints associated with the application and the expensive cost of panels and batteries. This paper evaluates the design of the PV system using three probabilistic methods. One is considering fixed days of battery back up and recharge and the other is based on loss of load probability (LOLP). The third is based on Markov chain modeling. LOLP distinctly shows reduction in the number of panels and size of batteries while providing a detailed view of the system performance

Keywords

Markov processes; load (electric); photovoltaic power systems; probability; Markov chain modeling; PV power systems sizing; battery back up; battery recharge; loss of load probability; photovoltaic power systems sizing; probabilistic methods; reliability; remote offshore loads; space constraints; Batteries; Costs; Electricity supply industry; Photovoltaic systems; Power supplies; Power system reliability; Solar power generation; Statistics; System performance; Wind energy generation;

fLanguage

English

Journal_Title

Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on

Publisher

ieee

ISSN

0885-8950

Type

jour

DOI

10.1109/59.982215

Filename

982215