Title :
Prediction and evaluation of traffic states at signalized intersections
Author :
Ji-quan Shen ; Qing-Jie Kong
Author_Institution :
State Key Lab. of Manage. & Control for Complex Syst., Inst. of Autom., Beijing, China
Abstract :
The parallel transportation system based on the method of ACP (Artificial systems, Computing experiments, Parallel Control) will promote the level of city traffic intelligent decision and scientific management. A key problem in the system is how to design a computing experiment method to predict and evaluate the traffic state by real-time and accuracy. This paper introduces the discrete-time queuing model to analyze the traffic flow at the signalized intersection and gives the evaluation conditions of the traffic state. Then, the evaluation conditions are applied to judge the traffic state based on the prediction data of traffic flows from the grey model. Experiments show the method is effective and feasible.
Keywords :
grey systems; intelligent transportation systems; queueing theory; traffic engineering computing; ACP method; artificial system-computing experiment-parallel control method; city traffic intelligent decision; discrete-time queuing model; grey model; parallel transportation system; scientific management; signalized intersection; traffic flow analysis; traffic flow prediction data; traffic state evaluation; traffic state prediction data; Analytical models; Computational modeling; Educational institutions; Personnel; Predictive models;
Conference_Titel :
Service Operations and Logistics, and Informatics (SOLI), 2014 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Qingdao
DOI :
10.1109/SOLI.2014.6960734