• DocumentCode
    1594634
  • Title

    Irradiance prediction using Echo State Queueing Networks and Differential polynomial Neural Networks

  • Author

    Basterrech, S. ; Zjavka, Ladislav ; Prokop, Lukas ; Misak, S.

  • Author_Institution
    IT4Innovations, VrB-Tech. Univ. of Ostrava, Ostrava, Czech Republic
  • fYear
    2013
  • Firstpage
    271
  • Lastpage
    276
  • Abstract
    This paper investigates the estimation of a real time-series benchmark: the solar irradiance forcasting. The global solar irradiance is an important variable in the production of renewable energy sources. These variable is very unstable and hard to be predicted. For the prediction, we use two new models for time-series modeling: Echo State Queueing Networks and Differential polynomial Neural Networks. Both tools have been proven to be efficient for forecasting and time-series modeling. We compare their performances for this particular data set.
  • Keywords
    estimation theory; neural nets; photovoltaic power systems; polynomials; power engineering computing; queueing theory; renewable energy sources; time series; PV power plant; differential polynomial neural networks; echo state queueing networks; renewable energy sources; solar irradiance prediction; time-series benchmark estimation; Artificial neural networks; Atmospheric measurements; Gain measurement; Gold; Particle measurements; Polynomials; Differential Polynomial Neural Networks; Echo State Queueing Networks; Irradiance prediction; Renewable energy; Time-series modeling;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Intelligent Systems Design and Applications (ISDA), 2013 13th International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Bangi
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-3515-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ISDA.2013.6920748
  • Filename
    6920748