DocumentCode :
1594634
Title :
Irradiance prediction using Echo State Queueing Networks and Differential polynomial Neural Networks
Author :
Basterrech, S. ; Zjavka, Ladislav ; Prokop, Lukas ; Misak, S.
Author_Institution :
IT4Innovations, VrB-Tech. Univ. of Ostrava, Ostrava, Czech Republic
fYear :
2013
Firstpage :
271
Lastpage :
276
Abstract :
This paper investigates the estimation of a real time-series benchmark: the solar irradiance forcasting. The global solar irradiance is an important variable in the production of renewable energy sources. These variable is very unstable and hard to be predicted. For the prediction, we use two new models for time-series modeling: Echo State Queueing Networks and Differential polynomial Neural Networks. Both tools have been proven to be efficient for forecasting and time-series modeling. We compare their performances for this particular data set.
Keywords :
estimation theory; neural nets; photovoltaic power systems; polynomials; power engineering computing; queueing theory; renewable energy sources; time series; PV power plant; differential polynomial neural networks; echo state queueing networks; renewable energy sources; solar irradiance prediction; time-series benchmark estimation; Artificial neural networks; Atmospheric measurements; Gain measurement; Gold; Particle measurements; Polynomials; Differential Polynomial Neural Networks; Echo State Queueing Networks; Irradiance prediction; Renewable energy; Time-series modeling;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems Design and Applications (ISDA), 2013 13th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Bangi
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-3515-4
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ISDA.2013.6920748
Filename :
6920748
Link To Document :
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