• DocumentCode
    1596815
  • Title

    Notice of Retraction
    Well Cumulative Production Time Series Prediction Model

  • Author

    Jiao Yuwei ; Zheng Songqing ; Zhou Xinmao ; Zhang Jing

  • Author_Institution
    Res. Inst. of Pet. Exploration & Dev., PetroChina, Beijing, China
  • Volume
    3
  • fYear
    2010
  • Firstpage
    533
  • Lastpage
    535
  • Abstract
    Notice of Retraction

    After careful and considered review of the content of this paper by a duly constituted expert committee, this paper has been found to be in violation of IEEE´s Publication Principles.

    We hereby retract the content of this paper. Reasonable effort should be made to remove all past references to this paper.

    The presenting author of this paper has the option to appeal this decision by contacting TPII@ieee.org.

    Chaotic Time Series models were constructed to predict the well cumulate liquid productions based on phase space reconstruction and Genetic Algorithm was applied to determine the parameters: the minimum embedding dimension m and time delay ??. 4 wells in Tahe Oilfield were taken as practical examples and the maximum predicted error produced by prediction models was 76.8 tons. The results show that the prediction models provide results with high accuracy, which indicates it´s promising to forecast productions based on the previous production data.
  • Keywords
    chaos; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; hydrocarbon reservoirs; production management; time series; Tahe oilfield; chaotic time series models; forecast productions; genetic algorithm; phase space reconstruction; reservoir management; time series prediction model; well cumulate liquid productions; Chaos; Computational modeling; Computer simulation; Delay effects; Genetic algorithms; Geology; Petroleum; Predictive models; Production; Trajectory;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computer Modeling and Simulation, 2010. ICCMS '10. Second International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Sanya, Hainan
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-5642-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICCMS.2010.481
  • Filename
    5421282