DocumentCode
1602548
Title
Dirty pages of logarithm tables, lifetime of the universe, and subjective (fuzzy) probabilities on finite and infinite intervals
Author
Nguyen, Hung T. ; Kreinovich, Vladik ; Longpré, Luc
Author_Institution
Dept. of Math. Sci., New Mexico State Univ., Las Cruces, NM, USA
Volume
1
fYear
2003
Firstpage
67
Abstract
To design data processing algorithms with the smallest average processing time, we need to know what this "average" stands for. At first glance, it may seem that real-life data are really "chaotic", and no probabilities are possible at all: today, we may apply our software package to elementary particles, tomorrow - to distances between the stars, etc. However, contrary to this intuitive feeling, there are stable probabilities in real-life data. This fact was first discovered in 1881 by Simon Newcomb who noticed that the first pages of logarithm tables (that contain numbers starting with 1) are more used than the last ones (that contain numbers starting with 9). To check why, he took all physical constants from a reference book, and counted how many of them start with 1. An intuitive expectation is that all 9 digits should be equally probable. In reality, instead of 11 %, about 30% of these constants turned out to be starting with 1. In general, the fraction or constants that start with a digit d can be described as ln(d + 1) - ln(d). We describe a new interval computations-related explanation for this empirical fact, and we explain its relationship with lifetime of the Universe and with the general problem of determining subjective (fuzzy) probabilities on finite and infinite intervals.
Keywords
fuzzy set theory; fuzzy systems; maximum entropy methods; probability; consistency; design parameters; dirty pages; finite intervals; fuzzy probabilities; infinite intervals; interval computation-related explanation; logarithm tables; maximum entropy; natural requirements; shift-invariance; subjective probabilities; uniform distribution; universe lifetime; Algorithm design and analysis; Chemical reactors; Computer aided software engineering; Computer science; Data processing; Elementary particles; Process design; Software packages; Stress; Temperature distribution;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Fuzzy Systems, 2003. FUZZ '03. The 12th IEEE International Conference on
Print_ISBN
0-7803-7810-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/FUZZ.2003.1209339
Filename
1209339
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