Wind power modeling and application in generating adequacy assessment

A Monte Carlo simulation approach to wind power modeling in capacity adequacy assessment of generation systems containing wind power facilities is proposed. This method is based on hourly random simulation to mimic the operation of a generation system, taking into account the fluctuating nature of wind speed, the random failures of generating units and recognized dependencies. The hourly wind speeds are forecast utilizing a time series method. Both the energy credit and capacity contribution of a wind energy conversion system can be quantitatively assessed using the proposed model. The IEEE Reliability Test System is used to illustrate the simulation procedure.