DocumentCode :
1623577
Title :
Evaluating the probability of a good selection
Author :
Nelson, Barry L. ; Banerjee, Souvik
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Eng. & Manage. Sci., Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL, USA
Volume :
1
fYear :
1999
fDate :
6/21/1905 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage :
611
Abstract :
We present a two-stage experiment design for use in simulation experiments that compare systems in terms of their expected (long-run average) performance. This procedure simultaneously achieves the following with a prespecified probability of being correct: (a) find the best system or a near best system; (b) identify a subset of systems that are more than a practically insignificant difference from the best; and (c) provide a lower bound on the probability that the best or near best system has actually been selected. The procedure assumes normally distributed data, but allows unequal variances
Keywords :
design of experiments; digital simulation; performance evaluation; probability; expected performance; good selection probability; long-run average; lower bound; near best system; normally distributed data; prespecified probability; simulation experiments; two-stage experiment design; unequal variances; Analytical models; Engineering management; Industrial engineering; Personal communication networks; Sampling methods;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference Proceedings, 1999 Winter
Conference_Location :
Phoenix, AZ
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-5780-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.1999.823142
Filename :
823142
Link To Document :
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