DocumentCode :
1646230
Title :
Forecasting across technology discontinuities: visualising the management of “next generation” products and processes
Author :
Winch, Graham W.
Author_Institution :
Bus. Sch., Plymouth Univ., UK
fYear :
1995
fDate :
11/8/1995 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage :
42401
Lastpage :
42405
Abstract :
There has been a resurgence of interest in technological forecasting approaches as the impacts of technological advancements on firms´ competitiveness grow more frequent, more profound, and more global. The traditional techniques-envelope curves, morphological matrices, Delphi, substitution curves-can now be utilised in conjunction with process re-engineering and other computer-simulation approaches to provide a picture of what managerial life would be like as the new technologies are adopted. Managers facing completely new environments resulting from technological breakthroughs need aids to enable them to “visualise” the challenges, opportunities, pitfalls, and leverage points. Computer visioning aids can offer pictures of the future that are very dynamic and lifelike, and offer a management team the opportunity to “experience” life in a number of future scenarios to provide itself with new insights, confidence and competence in tackling the realities of the firm´s future. The author discusses computer-aided visioning including hypermedia visioning
Keywords :
decision support systems; management of change; planning; technological forecasting; computer-aided visioning; computer-simulation; hypermedia visioning; management; process re-engineering; technological advancements; technological forecasting;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
iet
Conference_Titel :
Engineering Marketing - Engineer and Marketeer in Perfect Harmony?, IEE Half-day Colloquium on
Conference_Location :
London
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1049/ic:19951232
Filename :
498910
Link To Document :
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