DocumentCode :
1653684
Title :
Political business cycles: Evidence from Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea using panel data approach
Author :
Huang, Chiung-Ju
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Public Finance, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan
fYear :
2011
Firstpage :
1
Lastpage :
4
Abstract :
This paper uses a panel vector autoregressive model to examine the existence of political business cycles across Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea over the 1988 to 2008 period. The empirical results indicate that the electoral dummy variable has a significantly positive impact on the government expenditures. The government expenditures in the election year and the previous year of election are significantly increased. There is evidence supporting the political business cycles across Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea. Therefore, reducing public debts caused by the candidates´ election promises may be a way to improve the situation of government fiscal worsening.
Keywords :
Econometrics; Economic indicators; Government; Nominations and elections; Reactive power; legislative/parliamentary elections; panel vector autoregressive model; political business cycles;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
E -Business and E -Government (ICEE), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai, China
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8691-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICEBEG.2011.5882403
Filename :
5882403
Link To Document :
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