Title :
Forecasting a Logistic Service Demand based on Neural Network
Author :
Zhou, Ling ; Heimann, Bernhard ; Clausen, Uwe
Author_Institution :
Dortmund Univ.
Abstract :
Forecasting facilitates cutting down operational and management costs while ensuring service level for a logistics service provider. Our case study here is to investigate how to forecast logistic demand for a LTL carrier. First only time series forecasting is employed as no suitable explanatory indicators can be found for the regression approach. Among the times series forecasting methods, NN is adopted considering its feasibility and applicability. The simulation results verified its advantage over other two conventional time series approaches. The work done in the paper helps manager to select prediction method in practice
Keywords :
demand forecasting; logistics data processing; neural nets; regression analysis; time series; LTL carrier; demand forecasting; logistics service provider; neural network; regression approach; time series forecasting; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Economic indicators; Feedforward neural networks; Iterative algorithms; Logistics; Macroeconomics; Neural networks; Predictive models; Production; Logistic service demand; Neural Network; forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Service Systems and Service Management, 2006 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Troyes
Print_ISBN :
1-4244-0450-9
Electronic_ISBN :
1-4244-0451-7
DOI :
10.1109/ICSSSM.2006.320518