• DocumentCode
    1675693
  • Title

    Investigations of cascade neo-fuzzy neural networks in the problem of forecasting at the stock exchange

  • Author

    Zaychenko, Y. ; Gasanov, A.

  • Author_Institution
    Inst. for Appl. Syst. Anal., KTUU Kiev Polytech. Inst., Kiev, Ukraine
  • fYear
    2012
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    3
  • Abstract
    The problem of the forecasting stock prices and indexes in the stock market is considered. The application of new class of neural networks - cascade neo-fuzzy neural networks for the forecasting is investigated. For the forecasting data of the company´s stock quote NYSE and the RTS index and the Dow Jones over the last year have been used. The comparison of results for the cascade neo-fuzzy neural networks with varying types of membership functions with the classical fuzzy neural networks, Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) and fuzzy GMDH has been performed. The best results among the fuzzy neural networks showed cascaded NF network with Gaussian membership functions, their error does not exceed 3%.
  • Keywords
    Gaussian processes; data handling; forecasting theory; fuzzy neural nets; stock markets; Gaussian membership functions; NYSE index; RTS index; cascade neo-fuzzy neural networks; cascaded NF network; company stock; fuzzy GMDH; group method of data handling; membership functions; stock exchange; stock market indexes; stock price forecasting problem; fuzzy GMDH; neo-fuzzy cascade neural networks; stock indexes forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Problems of Cybernetics and Informatics (PCI), 2012 IV International Conference
  • Conference_Location
    Baku
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-4500-2
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICPCI.2012.6486327
  • Filename
    6486327