System Dynamics Simulation of Sustainable Development Model of Chinese Athletic Talent Reserve

With the research method of system dynamics tools, the paper analyses the internal and external factors influencing the sustainable development of the Chinese athletic talent reserve, design the system dynamics equation by using the ratio of athlete population as the core variable and drawing the chart of cause and effect and construct the system dynamics model. The paper also uses the Vensim PLE to simulate the athletic talent reserve development trend from 2006 to 2020. The simulation results show that the development model of the complete integration education is the most efficient, professional development model comes next, then the model of traditional three-level training and the social development model is the least efficient. Thus, various kinds of athletic talent reserve development models should be adopted for its sustainable development in the future.