Title :
Determining the predictability of signals
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Commun. & Radio-Frequency Eng., Vienna Univ. of Technol.
Abstract :
In case of signal or time series prediction, it is important to know if there is any chance for prediction or not. Therefore, the maximum achievable prediction gain is the desired measure used to characterize the future knowledge of a signal. We present a method to evaluate the maximum prediction gain based on the observed signal only. Hence, the presented method does not rely on a special prediction function, therefore it is suitable for a decision whether any given predictor is good enough or could be improved. To aid system identification tasks the progress of the prediction gain is used as an additional model selection rule. Considering different signal types the predictability behaves differently, i.e., it keeps constant; for periodic signals or vanishes in the case of chaotic or random signals
Keywords :
chaos; identification; prediction theory; random processes; signal processing; time series; chaotic signals; maximum achievable prediction gain; model selection rule; observed signal; periodic signals; prediction function; random signals; signal prediction; signal types; system identification; time series prediction; Chaotic communication; Noise measurement; Predictive models; Radio frequency; System identification; Upper bound;
Conference_Titel :
Digital Signal Processing Workshop Proceedings, 1996., IEEE
Conference_Location :
Loen
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-3629-1
DOI :
10.1109/DSPWS.1996.555518