Title :
Enhancement of the Probability of Occurrence for Off-Shore Wind Farm Power Forecast
Author :
Eping, Christiane ; Voelskow, Michael
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Electr. Energy Syst., Darmstadt Univ. of Technol., Darmstadt
Abstract :
The paper presents a method for giving a reliable statement of power produced by a wind farm. The method is based on the forecast of the wind conditions for a defined time period and derives from this the possible power output. This possible power output is calculated by removing a safety margin from the forecast. In an economic consideration, the influence of the safety margin on the electricity production costs will be calculated. Furthermore the profitability of the wind farms will be compared to conventional power plants.
Keywords :
costing; electrical safety; load forecasting; offshore installations; power generation economics; probability; wind power plants; electricity production cost; off-shore wind farm power forecast; probability; safety margin; Costs; Economic forecasting; Electrical safety; Power generation; Power generation economics; Product safety; Production; Profitability; Wind farms; Wind forecasting; electricity production costs; forecast error; offshore wind farm; power forecast; safety margin; wind energy;
Conference_Titel :
Power Tech, 2007 IEEE Lausanne
Conference_Location :
Lausanne
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2189-3
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2190-9
DOI :
10.1109/PCT.2007.4538386
