Enhancement of the Probability of Occurrence for Off-Shore Wind Farm Power Forecast

Author

Eping, Christiane ; Voelskow, Michael

Author_Institution

Inst. of Electr. Energy Syst., Darmstadt Univ. of Technol., Darmstadt

fYear

2007

Firstpage

610

Lastpage

614

Abstract

The paper presents a method for giving a reliable statement of power produced by a wind farm. The method is based on the forecast of the wind conditions for a defined time period and derives from this the possible power output. This possible power output is calculated by removing a safety margin from the forecast. In an economic consideration, the influence of the safety margin on the electricity production costs will be calculated. Furthermore the profitability of the wind farms will be compared to conventional power plants.

Keywords

costing; electrical safety; load forecasting; offshore installations; power generation economics; probability; wind power plants; electricity production cost; off-shore wind farm power forecast; probability; safety margin; Costs; Economic forecasting; Electrical safety; Power generation; Power generation economics; Product safety; Production; Profitability; Wind farms; Wind forecasting; electricity production costs; forecast error; offshore wind farm; power forecast; safety margin; wind energy;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Power Tech, 2007 IEEE Lausanne

Conference_Location

Lausanne

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-2189-3

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-2190-9

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/PCT.2007.4538386

Filename

4538386