Load forecasting scheme based on energy efficiency for planning the expansion of electrical systems

A fundamental phase in the electrical systems planning is the temporal and spatial load forecasting. By changes in the structures of electricity markets and implementing policies for energy optimization, it is necessary to consider new variables that detail of better form the behavior´s forecasting and expansion of the electrical consumption to medium and long time. This work proposes a global load forecasting scheme to long-time, covering the topic temporal and spatial. The load forecasting proposes based in the influence of macroeconomic variables, implementing energy efficiency policies and the entry of new technologies that optimize their consumption. The proposed strategy combines load forecasting methods based on traditional methodologies with the implementation of the wavelets transformed and is validated through a sensitivity analysis for a real data set. Also, the model is applied to a real distribution system showing the potential for their use.