DocumentCode :
1723811
Title :
Novel DGM model of systematic main variable trend forecasting based on interval grey number sequence
Author :
Xie, Nai-ming
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Econ. & Manage., Nanjing Univ. of Aeronaut. & Astronaut., Nanjing, China
fYear :
2011
Firstpage :
191
Lastpage :
195
Abstract :
Although grey forecasting model has been successfully adopted in various fields and yielded promising results, the literature shows that its performance is far from satisfactory and need to be further improved. Traditional grey models were all constructed on the real sequence. In fact almost in all systems the precise information or value of can not be get. The grey number is used to display uncertain information. For this reason, a novel grey forecasting model based on interval grey number sequence is proposed. Grey number and its operation is defined with optimized formula. Section 3, a novel model named grey number sequence forecasting model (Abbreviate as IG-DGM) is proposed and the parameters formula and recursive function is studied as well. As shown in results, the proposed model can be solved similarly as traditional grey model. This work contributes significantly to improve grey forecasting theory and propose more novel grey forecasting models.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; grey systems; recursive functions; DGM model; IG-DGM; grey forecasting models; grey forecasting theory; grey models; interval grey number sequence; number sequence forecasting model; optimized formula; parameters formula; real sequence; recursive function; systematic main variable trend forecasting; yielded promising results; Equations; Mathematical model; accumulating generation; grey forecasting model; grey system; interval grey number;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-490-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2011.6043955
Filename :
6043955
Link To Document :
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