Title :
Combined model of GM (0, N) and neural network algorithm for civil aircraft cost estimation
Author :
Xie Nai-ming ; Liu Feng-hua ; Song Ding
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Econ. & Manage., Nanjing Univ. of Aeronaut. & Astronaut., Nanjing, China
Abstract :
Cost estimation is the key problem in production management of civil aircraft. Consider the cost information of similar products can not be easily gathered, a combination model of GM (0, N) model and BP neural network algorithm is proposed. The superiorities of simulation of BP neural network algorithm and poor information generating of GM (0, N) can be effectively combined. So the new algorithm of combination model is given out. The case of cost estimation of civil aircraft is used to test the validity of the proposed model. To compare with the traditional multiple linear regression model and simple GM (0, N) model, the results indicated that the proposed model can do the work better.
Keywords :
aerospace computing; aircraft; backpropagation; neural nets; queueing theory; regression analysis; BP neural network algorithm; GM (0,N) model; civil aircraft cost estimation; combination model; multiple linear regression model; Aircraft; Atmospheric modeling; Biological neural networks; Data models; Estimation; Mathematical model; Predictive models; BP neural network algorithm; Cost estimation; GM (0, N) model; Multiple linear regression;
Conference_Titel :
Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC), 2014 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
San Diego, CA
DOI :
10.1109/SMC.2014.6974476