Title :
Analysis of population controllability and prediction of population structure based on constraint system
Author :
Yue Xiao-ning ; Meng Zhao-jia ; Xie Feng-dan
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Normal, Shenyang Univ., Shenyang, China
fDate :
May 31 2014-June 2 2014
Abstract :
It is established that population structure prediction time-varying restriction system model, and its controllability of the system is analyzed through grey system theory and control theory. Based on Liapunov central limit theorem, the conclusion that child-bearing age of women is subject to the normal distribution is obtained, and the density function of fertility age is given. Fertility restricted function is introduced, and we define population migration quantity as control variable, and state feedback gain matrix is established by fertility restricted function, on the basis of which, the discrete time-varying population structure restriction system is established, at the same time its controllability is analyzed by the fertility restriction function and population structure is predicted in a closed region. Finally, error analysis is made through the model, and accuracy and dependability of the model are proved.
Keywords :
demography; error analysis; forecasting theory; grey systems; matrix algebra; Lyapunov central limit theorem; constraint system; control theory; discrete time-varying population structure restriction system; error analysis; fertility age density function; fertility restriction function; grey system theory; population controllability analysis; population migration quantity; population structure prediction; state feedback gain matrix; Analytical models; Controllability; Educational institutions; Pediatrics; Predictive models; Sociology; Statistics; Controllability; Fertility rate; Grey constraint system; Population structure; Prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference (2014 CCDC), The 26th Chinese
Conference_Location :
Changsha
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-3707-3
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2014.6852437