DocumentCode :
176481
Title :
The implementation of dynamic heteroskedasticity convertible SVM model in financial time series
Author :
Song Xiaohua ; Zhang Yulin
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
fYear :
2014
fDate :
29-30 Sept. 2014
Firstpage :
281
Lastpage :
285
Abstract :
In this paper, in order to overcome the deficiency of the traditional SVM, a positive mapping between price volatilities and sample periods of underlying financial time series has been assumed according to the theorems of behavioral finance. By embedding this mapping into the constraint equations of the classic SVM algorithm, an improved SVM model named DHC-SVM (Dynamic Heteroskedasticity Convertible SVM) is proposed for the financial price forecasting. Comparing to the classic SVM model, the experimental results on the real-time HS300 index data illustrates that the DHC-SVM has the advantage both in higher accuracy and better stability.
Keywords :
financial management; forecasting theory; pricing; time series; DHC-SVM; behavioral finance theorem; classic SVM algorithm; dynamic heteroskedasticity convertible SVM model; financial price forecasting; financial time series; price volatilities; real-time HS300 index data; Accuracy; Data models; Heuristic algorithms; Numerical models; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Time series analysis; DHC-SVM (Dynamic Heteroskedasticity Convertible SVM); Heteroskedasticity GARCH Model; Support Vector Machines (SVM); Transfer Function; behavioral finance; nonlinear classifier;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Advanced Research and Technology in Industry Applications (WARTIA), 2014 IEEE Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Ottawa, ON
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WARTIA.2014.6976252
Filename :
6976252
Link To Document :
بازگشت