Multi-decadal Projection and Analysis of Land Cover Changes in Portugal from 1980 to 2040

Author

Santos, Sara ; Cabral, Pedro M. ; Zamyatin, Alexander

Author_Institution

Inst. Super. de Estatistica e Gestao de Informacao, Univ. Nova de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal

fYear

2014

fDate

June 30 2014-July 3 2014

Firstpage

99

Lastpage

104

Abstract

In this study, land cover changes in continental Portugal are analyzed using samples of the Landyn research project. The modeling approach includes the test of the hypothesis that land cover changes are generated by a first-order Markov process for years 1980, 1995 and 2010. Results show that the changes in land cover are dependant of the previous moment in time, i.e., they follow a Markov process. Multi-decadal land cover projection of the proportion of the Landyn simplified land cover classes are presented and analyzed for continental Portugal and its regions (NUTS 2) for years 2020, 2030 and 2040.

Keywords

Markov processes; geographic information systems; land cover; land use; statistical testing; Landyn research project; Landyn simplified land cover classes; NUTS; continental Portugal; first-order Markov process; hypothesis testing; land cover change analysis; land use-and-land cover change; modeling approach; multidecadal land cover projection; Agriculture; Data models; Equations; Markov processes; Random variables; Remote sensing; LUCC; Landyn; Markov chains; stochastic model;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Computational Science and Its Applications (ICCSA), 2014 14th International Conference on

Conference_Location

Guimaraes

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICCSA.2014.27

Filename

6976669