DocumentCode :
1777900
Title :
The research of grid short-term load forecasting considering with air quality index
Author :
Jing Li ; Yajing Gao ; Jianpeng Liu ; Wangwei Ji ; Ning Wang
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Electr. & Electron. Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding, China
fYear :
2014
fDate :
20-22 Oct. 2014
Firstpage :
852
Lastpage :
857
Abstract :
The relationship between the air quality index (AQI) level and power load variation is analyzed, the method of load forecasting considering with AQI is proposed. First, the load can be classified by the cluster analysis, then the corresponding relationship between each type of load and AQI levels is analyzed, the variation of the load before and after the precautionary measures is also analyzed. In this paper, a weighted similarity and weighted support vector machine algorithm is proposed to address the short-term power load forecasting model based on the analysis of the influence of AQI level to load. The factors including weeks, weather, the highest temperature and the lowest temperature and AQI level are considered in this model. And the similar days are chose by the weighted similarity method. That the similarity is selected as the weight coefficient has solved the problem of the differences in sample data, in addition. Therefore, the accuracy of load forecasting is improved.
Keywords :
air quality; load forecasting; pattern clustering; power engineering computing; statistical analysis; support vector machines; AQI; air quality index; cluster analysis; grid short-term load forecasting research; power load variation; weighted similarity method; weighted support vector machine algorithm; Correlation; Indexes; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Meteorology; Pollution; Support vector machines; Air Quality Index; Support Vector Machine; load forecasting; similar day;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Power System Technology (POWERCON), 2014 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Chengdu
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/POWERCON.2014.6993892
Filename :
6993892
Link To Document :
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