DocumentCode
1777900
Title
The research of grid short-term load forecasting considering with air quality index
Author
Jing Li ; Yajing Gao ; Jianpeng Liu ; Wangwei Ji ; Ning Wang
Author_Institution
Sch. of Electr. & Electron. Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding, China
fYear
2014
fDate
20-22 Oct. 2014
Firstpage
852
Lastpage
857
Abstract
The relationship between the air quality index (AQI) level and power load variation is analyzed, the method of load forecasting considering with AQI is proposed. First, the load can be classified by the cluster analysis, then the corresponding relationship between each type of load and AQI levels is analyzed, the variation of the load before and after the precautionary measures is also analyzed. In this paper, a weighted similarity and weighted support vector machine algorithm is proposed to address the short-term power load forecasting model based on the analysis of the influence of AQI level to load. The factors including weeks, weather, the highest temperature and the lowest temperature and AQI level are considered in this model. And the similar days are chose by the weighted similarity method. That the similarity is selected as the weight coefficient has solved the problem of the differences in sample data, in addition. Therefore, the accuracy of load forecasting is improved.
Keywords
air quality; load forecasting; pattern clustering; power engineering computing; statistical analysis; support vector machines; AQI; air quality index; cluster analysis; grid short-term load forecasting research; power load variation; weighted similarity method; weighted support vector machine algorithm; Correlation; Indexes; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Meteorology; Pollution; Support vector machines; Air Quality Index; Support Vector Machine; load forecasting; similar day;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Power System Technology (POWERCON), 2014 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Chengdu
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/POWERCON.2014.6993892
Filename
6993892
Link To Document