Title :
A hybrid wind speed forecasting strategy based on Hilbert-Huang transform and machine learning algorithms
Author :
Tomin, Nikita ; Sidorov, Denis ; Kurbatsky, Victor ; Spiryaev, Vadim ; Zhukov, Alexey ; Leahy, Paul
Author_Institution :
Melentiev Energy Syst. Inst., Irkutsk, Russia
Abstract :
Precise wind resource assessment is one of the more imminent challenges. In the present work, we develop an adaptive approach to wind speed forecasting. The approach is based on a combination of the efficient apparatus of non-stationary time series of wind speed retrospective data analysis based on the Hilbert-Huang transform and machine learning models. Models that are examined include neural networks, support vector machines, the regression trees approach: random forest and boosting trees. Evaluation results are presented for the Irish power system based on the Atlantic offshore buoy data.
Keywords :
Hilbert transforms; data analysis; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; wind power; Hilbert-Huang transform; boosting trees; hybrid wind speed forecasting strategy; machine learning algorithms; neural networks; nonstationary time series; precise wind resource assessment; random forest; regression trees; support vector machines; wind speed retrospective data analysis; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; Wind speed; Hilbert-Huang transform; forecasting; machine learning; power systems; wind power;
Conference_Titel :
Power System Technology (POWERCON), 2014 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Chengdu
DOI :
10.1109/POWERCON.2014.6993990