DocumentCode
1778093
Title
A hybrid wind speed forecasting strategy based on Hilbert-Huang transform and machine learning algorithms
Author
Tomin, Nikita ; Sidorov, Denis ; Kurbatsky, Victor ; Spiryaev, Vadim ; Zhukov, Alexey ; Leahy, Paul
Author_Institution
Melentiev Energy Syst. Inst., Irkutsk, Russia
fYear
2014
fDate
20-22 Oct. 2014
Firstpage
2980
Lastpage
2986
Abstract
Precise wind resource assessment is one of the more imminent challenges. In the present work, we develop an adaptive approach to wind speed forecasting. The approach is based on a combination of the efficient apparatus of non-stationary time series of wind speed retrospective data analysis based on the Hilbert-Huang transform and machine learning models. Models that are examined include neural networks, support vector machines, the regression trees approach: random forest and boosting trees. Evaluation results are presented for the Irish power system based on the Atlantic offshore buoy data.
Keywords
Hilbert transforms; data analysis; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; wind power; Hilbert-Huang transform; boosting trees; hybrid wind speed forecasting strategy; machine learning algorithms; neural networks; nonstationary time series; precise wind resource assessment; random forest; regression trees; support vector machines; wind speed retrospective data analysis; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; Wind speed; Hilbert-Huang transform; forecasting; machine learning; power systems; wind power;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Power System Technology (POWERCON), 2014 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Chengdu
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/POWERCON.2014.6993990
Filename
6993990
Link To Document