DocumentCode :
1792306
Title :
Forecasting model based on multidimensional moving pattern for a class of complex production process
Author :
Sun Changping ; Xu Zhengguang ; Gao Qiang ; Yu Hang
Author_Institution :
Tianjin Key Lab. for Control Theor. & Applic. in Complicated Syst., Tianjin Univ. of Technol., Tianjin, China
fYear :
2014
fDate :
3-6 Aug. 2014
Firstpage :
1973
Lastpage :
1977
Abstract :
For a class of complex production processes, in our previous work, the idea of moving pattern based modeling is proposed. But, in our previous work, the moving pattern is confined to one dimension and the one dimensional moving pattern-based modeling is studied. In this paper, moving pattern is extended to multidimensional case, and a multidimensional moving pattern based forecasting model is proposed. First, the algorithm for constructing multidimensional pattern moving space is proposed. Second, for characterizing pattern class variable quantitatively, the multidimensional interval autoregression model (MIAR) is defined. Third, the proposed MIAR is applied to modeling the movement of pattern class variable in pattern moving space. At last, experimental results are then presented that indicate the validity and applicability of the proposed model.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; manufacturing processes; regression analysis; MIAR; complex production processes; forecasting model; multidimensional interval autoregression model; multidimensional pattern moving space; pattern class variable characterization; Automation; Conferences; Educational institutions; Forecasting; Predictive models; Production; Upper bound; Multidimensional moving pattern; interval arithmetic; interval auto-regression model; pattern class variable;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Mechatronics and Automation (ICMA), 2014 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Tianjin
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-3978-7
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMA.2014.6886005
Filename :
6886005
Link To Document :
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