• DocumentCode
    1796117
  • Title

    Hybrid soft computing methods for prediction of oil prices

  • Author

    Gabrall, Lubna A. ; Abraham, Ajith

  • Author_Institution
    Fac. of Comput. Sci. & Inf. Technol., Sudan Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Khartoum, Sudan
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    11-14 Aug. 2014
  • Firstpage
    140
  • Lastpage
    144
  • Abstract
    This paper aims to provide combination of multiple prediction models using different strategies including ensemble selection, voting, stacking and multi-schemes to design a model capable of predicting oil prices accurately. Daily data from 1999 to 2012 with 14 variables were used, which were further divided into 10 sub-datasets according to various attribute selection methods. Four groups of training and testing were examined. Experimental results conclude that performance of the combination model works better than author´s previous work and ensemble selection outperforms other combination methods.
  • Keywords
    neural nets; petroleum industry; pricing; production engineering computing; attribute selection methods; combination model; hybrid soft computing methods; oil price prediction; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Data models; Indexes; Predictive models; Stacking; Training; ensemble selection; multi-scheme; prediction oil prices; stacking; vote;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Soft Computing and Pattern Recognition (SoCPaR), 2014 6th International Conference of
  • Conference_Location
    Tunis
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/SOCPAR.2014.7007995
  • Filename
    7007995