DocumentCode
1796117
Title
Hybrid soft computing methods for prediction of oil prices
Author
Gabrall, Lubna A. ; Abraham, Ajith
Author_Institution
Fac. of Comput. Sci. & Inf. Technol., Sudan Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Khartoum, Sudan
fYear
2014
fDate
11-14 Aug. 2014
Firstpage
140
Lastpage
144
Abstract
This paper aims to provide combination of multiple prediction models using different strategies including ensemble selection, voting, stacking and multi-schemes to design a model capable of predicting oil prices accurately. Daily data from 1999 to 2012 with 14 variables were used, which were further divided into 10 sub-datasets according to various attribute selection methods. Four groups of training and testing were examined. Experimental results conclude that performance of the combination model works better than author´s previous work and ensemble selection outperforms other combination methods.
Keywords
neural nets; petroleum industry; pricing; production engineering computing; attribute selection methods; combination model; hybrid soft computing methods; oil price prediction; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Data models; Indexes; Predictive models; Stacking; Training; ensemble selection; multi-scheme; prediction oil prices; stacking; vote;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Soft Computing and Pattern Recognition (SoCPaR), 2014 6th International Conference of
Conference_Location
Tunis
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/SOCPAR.2014.7007995
Filename
7007995
Link To Document