• DocumentCode
    1798087
  • Title

    Wind power forecasting — An application of machine learning in renewable energy

  • Author

    Khan, Gul Muhammad ; Ali, Jalil ; Mahmud, Sahibzada Ali

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Electr. Eng., Univ. of Eng. & Technol., Peshawar, Pakistan
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    6-11 July 2014
  • Firstpage
    1130
  • Lastpage
    1137
  • Abstract
    The advancement in renewable energy sector being the focus of research these days, a novel neuro evolutionary technique is proposed for modeling wind power forecasters. The paper uses the robust technique of Cartesian Genetic Programming to evolve ANN for development of forecasting models. These Models predicts power generation of a wind based power plant from a single hour up to a year - taking a big lead over other proposed models by reducing its MAPE to as low as 1.049% for a single day hourly prediction. Results when compared with other models in the literature demonstrated that the proposed models are among the best estimators of wind based power generation plants proposed to date.
  • Keywords
    genetic algorithms; learning (artificial intelligence); load forecasting; neural nets; power system simulation; renewable energy sources; wind power plants; ANN; MAPE; cartesian genetic programming; evolutionary technique; machine learning; power generation prediction; renewable energy; single day hourly prediction; wind based power plant; wind power forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Forecasting; Predictive models; Production; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Neural Networks (IJCNN), 2014 International Joint Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Beijing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-6627-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/IJCNN.2014.6889771
  • Filename
    6889771