DocumentCode :
1798087
Title :
Wind power forecasting — An application of machine learning in renewable energy
Author :
Khan, Gul Muhammad ; Ali, Jalil ; Mahmud, Sahibzada Ali
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Univ. of Eng. & Technol., Peshawar, Pakistan
fYear :
2014
fDate :
6-11 July 2014
Firstpage :
1130
Lastpage :
1137
Abstract :
The advancement in renewable energy sector being the focus of research these days, a novel neuro evolutionary technique is proposed for modeling wind power forecasters. The paper uses the robust technique of Cartesian Genetic Programming to evolve ANN for development of forecasting models. These Models predicts power generation of a wind based power plant from a single hour up to a year - taking a big lead over other proposed models by reducing its MAPE to as low as 1.049% for a single day hourly prediction. Results when compared with other models in the literature demonstrated that the proposed models are among the best estimators of wind based power generation plants proposed to date.
Keywords :
genetic algorithms; learning (artificial intelligence); load forecasting; neural nets; power system simulation; renewable energy sources; wind power plants; ANN; MAPE; cartesian genetic programming; evolutionary technique; machine learning; power generation prediction; renewable energy; single day hourly prediction; wind based power plant; wind power forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Forecasting; Predictive models; Production; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks (IJCNN), 2014 International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-6627-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/IJCNN.2014.6889771
Filename :
6889771
Link To Document :
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