DocumentCode :
1827601
Title :
Bayesian networks implementation of the Dempster Shafer theory to model reliability uncertainty
Author :
Simon, Christophe ; Weber, Philippe
Author_Institution :
ESSTIN, CNRS-UHP-INPL, Vandoeuvre, France
fYear :
2006
fDate :
20-22 April 2006
Abstract :
In many reliability studies based on data, reliability engineers face incompleteness and incoherency problems in the data. Probabilistic tools badly handle these kinds of problems thus, it is better to use formalism from the evidence theory. From our knowledge, there is a lack of industrial tools that implement this theory. In this paper, the implementation of the Dempster Shafer theory in a Bayesian network tool is proposed in order to compute system reliability and manage epistemic uncertainty propagation. The basic concepts used are presented and some numerical experiments are made to show how uncertainty is propagated.
Keywords :
belief networks; case-based reasoning; nonmonotonic reasoning; probability; reliability theory; uncertainty handling; Bayesian network tool; Dempster Shafer theory; epistemic uncertainty propagation management; evidence theory formalism; industrial tools; probabilistic tools; system reliability modeling; Bayesian methods; Computer network management; Computer networks; Data engineering; Performance analysis; Reliability engineering; Reliability theory; Safety; State estimation; Uncertainty;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Availability, Reliability and Security, 2006. ARES 2006. The First International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-2567-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ARES.2006.38
Filename :
1625387
Link To Document :
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