Title :
Preprocessing in Fuzzy Time Series to Improve the Forecasting Accuracy
Author :
Dos Santos, Fabio Jose Justo ; De Arruda Camargo, Heloisa
Author_Institution :
Comput. Dept., Fed. Univ. of Sao Carlos, Sao Carlos, Brazil
Abstract :
The preprocessing in fuzzy time series has an important role to improve the forecast accuracy. The definitions of domain, number of linguistic terms and of the membership function to each fuzzy set, has direct influence in the forecast results. Thus, this paper has the focus on definition of these parameters, before of performing the prediction. The experimental results in enrollments time series show that, when the forecast is performed after proposed preprocessing, the accuracy rate is improved.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; time series; forecast accuracy; forecasting accuracy; fuzzy set; fuzzy time series preprocessing; linguistic terms; Accuracy; Computational modeling; Forecasting; Fuzzy sets; Pragmatics; Predictive models; Time series analysis; forecasting; fuzzy time series; preprocessing;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Applications (ICMLA), 2013 12th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Miami, FL
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLA.2013.185