• DocumentCode
    1848651
  • Title

    Estimation of sample size to forecast travel demand in urban public transport

  • Author

    Horvath, Balazs ; Horvath, Richard

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Transp., Szechenyi Istvan Univ., Györ, Hungary
  • fYear
    2015
  • fDate
    3-5 June 2015
  • Firstpage
    300
  • Lastpage
    303
  • Abstract
    The starting point of a transport development project is knowledge on travel demand. If there is time and money for doing a detailed survey and passenger counting, we are able to build up detailed travel demand models. Usually this is not the case of the reality. Normally there is money and resources for some counting and maybe some surveying to clarify the demand data (e.g. OD matrix). There is always a discussion point; what is the needed size of the sample at a surveying, to be able to produce reliable data for OD matrix estimation. The paper deals with the issue of needed sample size and reliability of results.
  • Keywords
    estimation theory; forecasting theory; matrix algebra; public transport; OD matrix estimation; sample size estimation; transport development project; travel demand forecasting; travel demand models; urban public transport; Cities and towns; Correlation; Estimation; Intelligent transportation systems; Iterative methods; Load modeling; Reliability; PTV VISUM; estimation; public transport; travel demand;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Models and Technologies for Intelligent Transportation Systems (MT-ITS), 2015 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Budapest
  • Print_ISBN
    978-9-6331-3140-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/MTITS.2015.7223271
  • Filename
    7223271