DocumentCode
1848651
Title
Estimation of sample size to forecast travel demand in urban public transport
Author
Horvath, Balazs ; Horvath, Richard
Author_Institution
Dept. of Transp., Szechenyi Istvan Univ., Györ, Hungary
fYear
2015
fDate
3-5 June 2015
Firstpage
300
Lastpage
303
Abstract
The starting point of a transport development project is knowledge on travel demand. If there is time and money for doing a detailed survey and passenger counting, we are able to build up detailed travel demand models. Usually this is not the case of the reality. Normally there is money and resources for some counting and maybe some surveying to clarify the demand data (e.g. OD matrix). There is always a discussion point; what is the needed size of the sample at a surveying, to be able to produce reliable data for OD matrix estimation. The paper deals with the issue of needed sample size and reliability of results.
Keywords
estimation theory; forecasting theory; matrix algebra; public transport; OD matrix estimation; sample size estimation; transport development project; travel demand forecasting; travel demand models; urban public transport; Cities and towns; Correlation; Estimation; Intelligent transportation systems; Iterative methods; Load modeling; Reliability; PTV VISUM; estimation; public transport; travel demand;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Models and Technologies for Intelligent Transportation Systems (MT-ITS), 2015 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Budapest
Print_ISBN
978-9-6331-3140-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/MTITS.2015.7223271
Filename
7223271
Link To Document