DocumentCode
1855294
Title
Nonlinear time series prediction weighted by marginal likelihoods: a hierarchical Bayesian approach
Author
Matsumoto, T. ; Saito, M. ; Sugi, J.
Author_Institution
Dept. of Electr., Electron. & Comput. Eng., Waseda Univ., Tokyo, Japan
Volume
4
fYear
1999
fDate
1999
Firstpage
2604
Abstract
A nonlinear time series prediction scheme is proposed with a combination of model dynamical systems weighted by marginal likelihoods. The scheme outperforms prediction with a single model prediction with the highest marginal likelihood
Keywords
Bayes methods; multilayer perceptrons; nonlinear dynamical systems; parameter estimation; time series; hierarchical Bayesian algorithm; marginal likelihood; multilayer perceptron; nonlinear dynamical systems; parameter estimation; time series prediction; Bayesian methods; Distributed computing; Equations; Markov processes; Neural networks; Noise level; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Predictive models; Uncertainty; Yttrium;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Neural Networks, 1999. IJCNN '99. International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location
Washington, DC
ISSN
1098-7576
Print_ISBN
0-7803-5529-6
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/IJCNN.1999.833486
Filename
833486
Link To Document