Adaptive traffic control system based on Bayesian probability interpretation

Traffic control (TC) is a challenging problem in today´s modern society. This is due to several factors including the huge number of vehicles, the high dynamics of the system, and the nonlinear behavior exhibited by the different components of the system. Poor traffic management inflicts considerable cost due to the high rate of accidents, time losses, and negative impact on the economy as well as the environment. In this paper, we develop a traffic control system based on the Bayesian interpretation of probability that is adaptive to the high dynamics and non-stationarity of the road network. In order to simulate the traffic non-stationarity, we extend the Green Light District (GLD) vehicle traffic simulator. The change in road conditions is modeled by varying vehicle spawning probability distributions. We also implement the acceleration and lane changing models in GLD based on the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM).