Title :
The Century of Living Dangerously, part II: Confronting Uncertainty
Author_Institution :
RJ Bogumil, New York
Abstract :
Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) methodological limitations as well as environmental application-specific features confound much needed objective analysis and hope for equitable remediation of anthropogenic climate change. Issues addressed include: risk subjectivism, the difficulty of mathematical and computer model prediction-validity assessment associated with chaotic system dynamics, as well as standards of scholarship and the obstacle to societal reform posed by commercial, consumer-driven mass-media journalism.
Keywords :
chaos; climatology; risk management; weather forecasting; anthropogenic climate change; chaotic system dynamics; model prediction-validity assessment; probabilistic risk assessment; risk subjectivism; uncertainty; Earth; Employment; Failure analysis; Hazards; Humans; Information analysis; Mathematical model; Risk analysis; Risk management; Uncertainty;
Conference_Titel :
Technology and Society, 2007. ISTAS 2007. IEEE International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Las Vegas, NV
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-0587-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-0587-9
DOI :
10.1109/ISTAS.2007.4362206