Abstract :
Based on the analysis of the basic theories of forewarning of hotels, this paper sets up a multi-level index system on the forewarning research of hotel. The weights of the indexes are determined by AHP and fuzzy theory is used for comprehensive evaluation. Take a 4-Star hotel for an example for practical analysis in Qinhuangdao. ¡¡¡¡China´s hotel industry from the beginning of 1998 by the height growth in the rising phase into a moderate increase in mature stage, industry competition environment has undergone a fundamental change. The hotel industry competition is becoming increasingly fierce, especially in twenty-first Century, the development of the hotel industry is facing more opportunities, but also hidden greater challenges. In this environment, the hotel business is to increase the probability of adversity, early warning management theory as the hotel stress state and whether provides a quantitative research method.
