DocumentCode
1908131
Title
Building Logistics Cost Forecast Based on Improved Simulated Annealing Neural Network
Author
Tian, Jingwen ; Gao, Meijuan
Author_Institution
Coll. of Autom., Beijing Union Univ., Beijing, China
Volume
3
fYear
2009
fDate
10-11 Oct. 2009
Firstpage
914
Lastpage
917
Abstract
The building logistics cost forecasting is a complicated nonlinear problem, due to the factors that influence building logistics cost are anfractuous, and it was difficult to describe it by traditional methods. So a modeling and forecasting method of building logistics cost based on improved simulated annealing neural network (ISANN) is presented in this paper. First the simulated annealing algorithm with the best reserve mechanism is introduced and it is organic combined with Powell algorithm to form improved simulated annealing mixed optimize algorithm, instead of gradient falling algorithm of BP network to train network weight. It can get higher accuracy and faster convergence speed. We construct the network structure, and give the algorithm flow, and discussed and analyzed the effect factor of building logistics cost. With the ability of strong self-learning and faster convergence of ISANN, the modeling and forecasting method can truly forecast the building logistics cost by learning the index information. The actual forecasting results show that this method is feasible and effective.
Keywords
backpropagation; costing; forecasting theory; logistics; neural nets; simulated annealing; BP network; Powell algorithm; building logistics cost forecasting; gradient falling algorithm; improved simulated annealing mixed optimize algorithm; improved simulated annealing neural network; Automation; Buildings; Computational modeling; Costs; Economic forecasting; Iterative algorithms; Logistics; Neural networks; Predictive models; Simulated annealing; building logistics; forecast; logistics cost; neural network; simulated annealing algorithm;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Intelligent Computation Technology and Automation, 2009. ICICTA '09. Second International Conference on
Conference_Location
Changsha, Hunan
Print_ISBN
978-0-7695-3804-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICICTA.2009.686
Filename
5288142
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